Digitalization of the electoral process: reality conditions, perspectives, threats

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31558/2519-2949.2025.3.5

Keywords:

psephology, digitalization, electoral process, information and communication technologies, mass media, big data, artificial intelligence, machine learning, cybersecurity, data manipulation, data protection, information security, political and juridical threats, national security, e-voting, digital infrastructure, cognitive functions, voter behaviour, democracy

Abstract

The role of modern digital technologies in electoral procedures of democracies is experiencing exponential growth, bringing both positive and negative changes. On one perspective, these transformations optimize efficiency and transparency of such procedures, streamlining the electoral processes efficiency. On the other perspective, they introduce security risks to political communication technologies, where democratic elections are the core component. The material of this article provides an in-depth analysis of the key threats posed by digitalization in electoral operations. It investigates how Big Data, Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, high-speed internet, and modern mobile technologies are redefining political communication and election security. To achieve a more detailed understanding of the problem, the article decomposes the electoral process into constituent sub-stages — the preparation phase, and the phase of voting itself along with and the vote-counting. Utilizing this approach enables to methodically classify threats into four key groups: information and cybersecurity threats, data manipulation threats, threats to technical and organizational safety, and institutional and regulatory threats. Employing case studies, event analysis, threats systematization, and comparative analysis, it considers emprirical examples of cyberattacks and data manipulation. It also provides an overview of regulatory frameworks governing personal data protection and information security across various democracies. The article emphasizes the necessity for modern regulatory and technical solutions to the risks mitigation. Its findings possess practical applicability for government institutions which are oriented toward election security, safeguarding democratic processes and for analytical centers.

References

Hanschitz, G. Digitalization of Politics and Elections. Springer Nature. 2017 URL: https://link.springer.com/rwe/10.1007/978-3-319-06091-0_3-1, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-06091-0_3-1

Шевчук О. Цифровізація виборчого процесу: потреби та перспективи реалізації. Наукові перспективи. Матеріали XV-ої Міжнародної науково-практичної конференції. 2021. С. 62.

Чайка I., Цокур Є. Цифровізація виборів в Україні і світі: етичні виміри феномену. Humanities Studies. 2024. № 20 (97). С. 140. DOI: 10.32782/hst-2024-20-97-16

Сікора І. Довіра електорату до електронних технологій у виборчому процесі: світовий досвід. Вісник Національного технічного університету України «КПІ». Політологія. Соціологія. Право. 2024. № 3(63). С. 64-70. DOI: 10.20535/2308-5053.2024.3(63).313502

Кравчук О., Матвієнко Л. Модернізація виборчих процесів засобами штучного інтелекту як інноваційний механізм публічного управління. Науковий вісник Вінницької академії. 2025. № 1(7). С. 107-114. DOI 10.32782/2786-5681-2025-1.13

Подгорна В. Цифрові платформи та їхній вплив на політичну сферу. Проблеми політичної психології. 2021. № 10(24). С. 301-309. DOI: 10.33120/popp-Vol24-Year2021-81

Громадська мережа Опора збирає і опрацьовує інформацію з проблематики виборів у сучасних реаліях. https://www.oporaua.org/category/vybory

Political Parties, Elections and Referendums Act. UK government Legislation. 2000. URL: https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2000/41/contents

US Federal Election Campaign Act. Federal Election Commission. Washington. D.C. 20463. 1971. URL: https://www.fec.gov/files/legal/aos/1989-29/1061516.pdf

France Code électoral. 1907. Journal officiel de la République française. URL: https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/codes/texte_lc/LEGITEXT000006070239/

Federal Elections Act. Federal Law Gazette. 1993. URL: https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/dam/jcr/4ff317c1-041f-4ba7-bbbf-1e5dc45097b3/bundeswahlgesetz_engl.pdf

Blumenthal S. The permanent campaign: inside the world of elite political operatives. Beacon Press. Boston. 1980. P. 2-10, 94-115. URL: https://archive.org/details/permanentcampaig00blum/mode/2up

Farkaš I. Transforming Cognition and Human Society in the Digital Age. Biol Theory. 2024. DOI: 10.1007/s13752-024-00483-3

Matthes J., Heiss R., and Scharrel H. The distraction effect. Political and entertainment-oriented content on social media, political participation, interest, and knowledge. Computers in Human Behavior. 2023. № 142. DOI: 10.1016/j.chb.2022.107644

Detrow S. What Did Cambridge Analytica Do During The 2016 Election? National Public Radio. 2018. URL: https://www.npr.org/2018/03/20/595338116/what-did-cambridge-analytica-do-during-the-2016-election

Murray S., Reston M., Bash D. and Perez E. Inside the Trump campaign’s ties with Cambridge Analytica. CNN. 2018. URL: https://edition.cnn.com/2018/03/21/politics/trump-campaign-cambridge-analytica/index.html

Big Data Informs a Paradigm Shift in Political Analysis. Princeton Research Computing. 2016. URL: https://researchcomputing.princeton.edu/news/2018/big-data-informs-paradigm-shift-political-analysis

Database of U.S. voter records, including demographic information, historical voting records, and party affiliations. L2-data. URL: https://www.l2-data.com/

U.S. Federal Elections: The Insider Threat. United States Election Assistance Commission. 2024. URL: https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/2024-06/2024_General_Elections_Insider_Threat.pdf

Potential Cybersecurity Threats to the 2024 U.S. Election: Voter Database Leaks. Constella AI. 2024. URL: https://constella.ai/2024-u-s-election-voter-database-leaks/

Islam N., Kim S., Pirooz M., and Shvetsov S. Cyber Threats to Canadian Federal Election: Emerging Threats, Assessment, and Mitigation Strategies. Computer Science. Cryptography and Security Arxiv. Cornell University. 2042. DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2410.05560

Watts C. As the U.S. election nears, Russia, Iran and China step up influence efforts. Microsoft Threat Analysis Center. Microsoft. 2024. URL: https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2024/10/23/as-the-u-s-election-nears-russia-iran-and-china-step-up-influence-efforts/

The First Major Cyberattack of the 2024 Election. The New York Times. 2024. URL: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/27/podcasts/the-daily/hacking-2024-election.html?

2024 US Election: Top Cyber Threats & Organizational Impacts. ReliaQuest. 2024. URL: https://reliaquest.com/blog/2024-us-election-top-cyber-threats-organizational-impacts/

Lindemulder G. What are advanced persistent threats? IBM. 2024. URL: https://www.ibm.com/think/topics/advanced-persistent-threats

Groups register. MITRE ATT&CK. URL: https://attack.mitre.org/groups/

Russian hacker group attacks Romanian government websites on election day. Politico. 2025. URL: https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-hacker-group-romania-election-day-constitutional-court-vote/

Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA). US government Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 1996. URL: https://www.cdc.gov/phlp/php/resources/health-insurance-portability-and-accountability-act-of-1996-hipaa.html

General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). Official Journal of the European Union. European Union. 2018. URL: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32016R0679

Full democracy data. Our World in Data. 2023. URL: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/full-democracy-lexical

Feldstein S. The Rise of Digital Repression: How Technology is Reshaping Power, Politics, and Resistance. Oxford University Press. 2021. URL: https://books.google.com.ua/books?id=W3QjEAAAQBAJ&lpg=PP1&lr&pg=PP1#v=onepage&q&f=false

Discussion on Elections Online Voting. CSPAN. 2020. URL: https://archive.org/details/CSPAN_20201022_081100_Discussion_on_Elections__Online_Voting/

California Voter Foundation and Verified Voting Urge Veto of Assembly Bill 2159. California Voter Foundation and Verified Voting. 2024. URL: https://verifiedvoting.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/CA-2159-veto-CVF-VV1.pdf

Newman L.H. Voting App Flaws Could Have Let Hackers Manipulate Results. Wired. 2020. URL: https://www.wired.com/story/voatz-voting-app-security-flaws/

The arrival of e-voting and campaign technologies in Europe: Promise, perils and preparedness. European Parliamentary Research Service. European Parliament. 2024. URL: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2024/762321/EPRS_BRI(2024)762321_EN.pdf

Study on E-Voting practices in the EU. European Commission, B-1049 Brussels. JUST/2021/OP/0002. 2023. URL: https://commission.europa.eu/document/download/23076478-987e-4dea-b9ef-df5e0dfd6cd2_en?filename=DG_JUST_EVoting_Report_pdf.pdf

Electronic Privacy Directive (e-PD). Directive 2002/58/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council. Official Journal of the European Communities European Union. 2002. URL: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32002L0058

Digital Services Act. (DSA). Regulation (EU) 2022/2065 of the European parliament and of the council. Official Journal of the European Union. European Union. URL: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32022R2065

Transparency and targeting of political advertising (TTPA). Regulation (EU) 2024/900 of the European parliament and of the council. Official Journal of the European Union. European Union. 2024. 2024/900. URL: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=OJ:L_202400900

Artificial intelligence act (AIA). Regulation (EU) 2024/1689. European Parliamentary Research Service. European Parliament. 2024. 2024/1689. URL: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2021/698792/EPRS_BRI(2021)698792_EN.pdf

Pereira L. Why does the Netherlands still not have electronic voting? Dutch Review. 2023. URL: https://dutchreview.com/news/why-netherlands-no-electronic-voting/

Sebes E. J. Electronic Voting Banned in Germany. OSET Institute. 2013. URL: https://www.osetinstitute.org/blog/electronic-voting-banned-in-germany

Re-evaluation of the Use of Electronic Voting in the Netherlands. NDI. 2013. URL: https://www.ndi.org/e-voting-guide/examples/re-evaluation-of-e-voting-netherlands

The arrival of e-voting and campaign technologies in Europe: Promise, perils and preparedness. European Parliamentary Research Service. European Parliament. 2024. URL:https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2024/762321/EPRS_BRI(2024)762321_EN.pdf

Lithuanian government seeks to introduce online voting this year. The Baltic Times. 2013. URL: https://www.baltictimes.com/lithuanian_government_seeks_to_introduce_online_voting_this_year/

South Korea to develop blockchain voting system. The Voting News and Verified Voting. 2018 URL: https://thevotingnews.com/%e2%80%8bsouth-korea-to-develop-blockchain-voting-system-zdnet/

Published

2025-09-22

How to Cite

[1]
Михайліченко , С.В. 2025. Digitalization of the electoral process: reality conditions, perspectives, threats. Political life. (Sep. 2025), 43-53. DOI:https://doi.org/10.31558/2519-2949.2025.3.5.

Issue

Section

Політичні інститути та процеси